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Explanation:

This question is based on the predictive power that science holds, but history does not. The writer states this difference between Physics and History at the beginning of the passage. An option that asserts that History too can have predictive power will contradict the argument put forward by the writer. Options 1 and 4 do this. Option 2 merely describes how science works– it neither contradicts nor supports the author’s point of view. Option 3 supports the writer’s point of view.
Hence, the correct answer is option 4.

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